trend effect meaning in Chinese

趋势效果

The paper is divided into three sector : in the first sector , base on cohort - component method and via quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis to matter of fact , the paper imports several variable : accelerating function of survival rate , correct children women ratio , proportion of infants , and establish correct cohort - component method . in the second sector , base on several hypothesis , zhejiang province population forecasts are made by correct cohort - component method , and population composing are presented in the future . in the third sector , base on results of zhejiang province population forecasts , the paper discusses change trend of mainly population index in the 21 century , and analyzes how population trend effects development of society and economy
本文分三部分进行：第一部分，在队列要素法的基础上，通过对实际情况的定量分析与定性分析，在模型中引入了以下变量：生存概率加速函数、修正儿童妇女比、幼儿性别比，建立了修正队列要素法模型；第二部分，在几个重要假设的基础上，根据修正队列要素法进行浙江省未来五十年人口预测，给出了各预测年份分性别年龄的人口构成情况；第三部分，是在上述预测结果的基础上，对21世纪前半叶浙江省的主要人口指标的变化趋势进行讨论，并对浙江省的总的人口变动趋势及其对社会经济发展影响进行分析。